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1. Identity statement
Reference TypeConference Paper (Conference Proceedings)
Sitemtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br
Holder Codeisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identifier8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3M9Q88B
Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/08.17.14.03
Last Update2021:02.27.17.49.38 (UTC) simone
Metadata Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/08.17.14.03.07
Metadata Last Update2021:02.27.17.49.39 (UTC) simone
Secondary KeyINPE--PRE/
Citation KeyBalanEbSkOmBaNa:2016:InFoSe
TitleIndices for forecasting severe space weather
Year2016
Access Date2024, May 15
Secondary TypePRE CI
Number of Files1
Size161 KiB
2. Context
Author1 Balan, Nalan
2 Ebihara, Yusuke
3 Skoug, R.
4 Omura, Yoshiharu
5 Batista, Inez Staciarini
6 Nakamura, Takuji
Resume Identifier1
2
3
4
5 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHDA
Group1 DGE-CEA-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
2
3
4
5 DAE-CEA-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Affiliation1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
2 Kyoto University
3 Los Alamos National Laboratory
4 Kyoto University
5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
6 National Institute of Polar Research
Author e-Mail Address1 balannanan@gmail.com
2
3
4
5 inez.batista@inpe.br
Conference NameAnnual Meeting Asia Oceania Geosciences Society, 13 (AOGS)
Conference LocationBeijing
Date31 July - 05 Aug.
History (UTC)2016-08-17 14:03:45 :: simone -> administrator :: 2016
2018-06-04 02:41:02 :: administrator -> simone :: 2016
3. Content and structure
Is the master or a copy?is the master
Content Stagecompleted
Transferable1
Content TypeExternal Contribution
AbstractIndices for Forecasting Severe Space Weather Nanan BALAN1#+, Yusuke EBIHARA2, R. SKOUG3, Yoshiharu OMURA2, Inez BATISTA1, Takuji NAKAMURA4 1 National Institute for Space Research, Brazil, 2 Kyoto University, Japan, 3 Los Alamos National Laboratory, United States, 4 National Institute of Polar Research, Japan #Corresponding author: balannanan@gmail.com +Presenter We suggest indices for forecasting severe space weather (SvSW) at the Earth that can damage technological systems such as electric power grids for the first time using ACE and IMP satellite data and Dst index. We study the characteristics of the CMEs that produced all 90 intense geomagnetic storms (DstMin < -100 nT) including 2 SvSW events since 1998 and earlier SvSW events such as the Carrington event of 1859, Quebec event of 1989 and an event in 1958. The CME and IMF parameters corresponding to the main phase (MP) of the geomagnetic storms are used to develop a forecast scheme. The scheme is tested using hourly values of solar wind and IMF. The results reveal that (1) all known electric power outages happened during the SvSW events that produced extreme geomagnetic storms having high mean Dst during MP (mean DstMP < -250 nT). (2) The products (ΔV x Bz), (V x Bz) and (P x Bz) show very large negative values at the CME fronts (of velocity ΔV) that caused SvSW, with V, P and Bz being the solar wind velocity in km s-1, dynamic pressure in nPa and north-south (northward positive) component of IMF in nT. (3) The product (ΔV x Bz) seems a suitable index for forecasting SvSW.
AreaCEA
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4. Conditions of access and use
data URLhttp://mtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3M9Q88B
zipped data URLhttp://mtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3M9Q88B
Languageen
Target Filebalan_indices.pdf
User Groupsimone
Reader Groupadministrator
simone
Visibilityshown
Update Permissionnot transferred
5. Allied materials
Mirror Repositoryurlib.net/www/2011/03.29.20.55
Next Higher Units8JMKD3MGPCW/3ETL868
8JMKD3MGPCW/3EU29DP
Citing Item List
Host Collectionsid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2013/09.26.14.25.20
6. Notes
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